Crisis in the Gulf of Oman: A Potential Entrapment for President Trump

By Max Coutinho

The winds of war are rising: the situation in the Gulf of Oman is escalating and Iran is being accused of perpetrating the attacks against tankers. It has been reported that US Lawmakers have been informed that America can strike Iran based on a post-9/11 law that has never been rescinded (meaning the President can bypass Congress). We all know Iran needs to be dealt with, eventually, but the question is: is this the right timing?

This is not the time to be distracted by petty and special political interests. We are a year away from the end of this government's term and it’s advisable to wait for it. – in Israel: It's Not the Time For Snap Elections, October 2018

Timing is everything. In October 2018, Israel was advised that the timing was not appropriate for snap elections and that they should wait at least a year. The advice was ignored, for political interests, and what happened? Elections were held but no government was formed - a crisis was generated. In September 2019, more or less a year after the mentioned article was written, Israel is going back to the polls. So, let’s reiterate: timing is everything; especially in these crucial times – the End of Days.

'Oil supply to entire Western world could be at risk' if the straits are deemed unsafe – Paolo D’Amico

Iran has been a threat for decades – let’s say, since 1979 – and all the world has done is to impose sanction after sanction to little avail (since Tehran managed to become an incredible Octopus with longer tentacles than Medusa’s Hair). But now it has become expedient to go after Iran and therefore the Persian Gulf may be in jeopardy. But this is not even the point of this article; the point is: is Tehran really guilty, if so who will attack it and when is the proper timing?

Is Iran the Real Culprit?

It’s not a secret that DS doesn’t appreciate obsolete politics. So far, it has been acceptable to allow proxies to push for certain crises in order to allow States to confront other States, often at the expense of the civilian population. This tactic may have been gladly accepted in the past, but after the War in Iraq it was expected that lessons had been learned.

It is also known that we support a regime change in Iran, however, things must be done properly to avoid excessive civilian upset and to make sure the real criminals pay the price. We are not interested in seeing a whole nation dragged into an all-out war that would result in mass displaced people (with Revolutionary Guards escaping in their midst) and major unnecessary suffering.

Iran must be dealt with for the right reasons, not based on lies and deception. Did Iran really attack those tankers? The MO employed is more reminiscent of Al-Qaeda in the 1990’s than Iran’s. We can’t even accuse Hezbollah of doing it as the attacks do not fit Hezbollah’s profile:

Ever since it began operating, Hizbullah hits its targets (which are primarily the military [128 attacks], terrorists [87 attacks], Private Citizens [52 attacks] and Government/Diplomatic targets [33 attacks]) with Explo-sives/Bombs/Dynamite, 78% of the times; and with firearms, 19% of the times it committed acts of terrorism. – in Hizbullah: The Art of Terrorism (By Cristina C. Giancchini)

We can’t accuse the Houthis (Ansar Allah) either as their preferred targets have been Private Citizens and Property, Military, Government (Diplomatic) and Media/Journalists. Even though their main attack type has been bombings and explosions (and now they prefer Drone Attacks more) in their entire history they have only conducted 5 maritime attacks (having been the last one in 2017) mostly focusing on Oil Platforms.

Iran threatened America with unpredictable attacks, but these tanker attacks were predictable; therefore, Tehran was not referring to this sort of terror activity. As we have mentioned before, Iran has cells waiting to be activated inside the US borders and in neighbouring countries, so why would they do something that would benefit their enemies (i.e. increase in oil prices)? It doesn’t make sense.

Who would stand to gain from this crisis?

Oil prices surged by four per cent on the news.  – in ‘Oil Tankers are targeted with explosion in Gulf of Oman’, Daily Mail

Which oil, methanol or gas companies are associated with International Consortia known for causing problems to increase their profit? Just follow the trail. Which private military companies, linked to the same Consortia, would make a lot of money if a war suddenly broke out between the US and Iran? Our readers could now accuse us of stepping into the Conspiracy Theory realm; however, the difficult questions must be asked – with all due respect to Secretary Mike Pompeo and President Trump.

The images shared with the public of a speed boat full of “Revolutionary Guards” officers removing a mine from one of the tankers do not constitute any evidence - quite frankly - as it is quite easy to buy a similar boat, stick the Revolutionary Guards logo on it, hire some individuals of Persian phenotype and get them to approach the tankers and do their business.

The whole affair is suspicious. Paolo D’Amico says that oil supplies to the west could be in danger, however these boats were taking oil, methanol and other products from Saudi Arabia to Singapore and from UAE to Taiwan – the facts do not line up with the political statements. On the 12 of May, it was reported that four tankers had been sabotaged off the coast of the UAE, but no details were offered even though the blame was immediately placed on Tehran.

Possible Strike on Iran

There is no evidence, beyond any reasonable doubt, that Iran carried out these attacks. Therefore, a strike based on these events is not warranted – meaning that a lot of people in America, in Europe, and perhaps in Asia even, may not be able to influence the US Government into allowing them to increase their wealth at the expense of Middle Eastern suffering, once again.

An attack should be carried out against Iran for the right reasons: Tehran seeks to have a Nuclear Bomb to destroy both Israel and the United States of America. 

The Mossad successfully proved Iran’s intention, it proved they never stopped their nuclear activities in spite of the JCPA, in spite of the European assurances that Iran was complying with the deal. This would be a good reason to attack Tehran, however, this option means no money would be earned by the members of the International Consortia – and that is why President Obama was so reluctant to unleash the Blue Dragon (as I called it back then).

So, now, this crisis was concocted to push for a reaction on the part of President Trump – who should remember what happened to President Bush when he played right into the hands of the International Consortia and rushed into a war in Iraq (when he was spot on about Afghanistan). President Trump should view any attempt to go to war with Iran as an entrapment – since no one has been able to hold anything tangible against him.

The Right Timing

The time to attack Iran has not come yet. We are talking about a very sophisticated enemy (due to its patience, intelligence and high capacity to adjust, improvise and overcome) so the next war must be fought in a smart and unpredictable way. It must also have the favour of Higher Powers, meaning that all elements must be aligned. We are not there yet.

Another thing: when the right time arrives, the US’ role in the war will be slightly different (yet, the Pentagon and its partners can rest assured that money will be made, although not savagely) and the Middle East must be allowed to take the lead (with Israel at its helm). This is the only way to beat the nefarious Iranian regime once and for all (NB: the Arab States must also be sure about their goals because it will be then or never) based on facts not on deception; and because it’s the right thing to do and not because America’s foes and opportunists want to make a buck out of it.

(Image: Tanker in Flames in Gulf of Oman[Ed] - AP via Daily Mail)

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